I have been a student of randomness and one of its offspring, uncertainty, for a while. This website is focused on understanding randomness and managing uncertainty from a faker’s point of view. I have gathered all the information here for someone very dear to me and this is how we used to communicate. I am not interested in debates or discussions. Please accept my apologies if that offends you.
I am both fascinated and scared by randomness. Fascinated because randomness is impartial, terrified because its offspring, uncertainty, can hit one in ways one can’t imagine.
But why from a faker’s point of view? Merriam-Webster dictionary defines a faker as “one who makes false claims of identity or expertise” and that is the narrow scope in which I use the word. I could have used the word “Pretender” but I like “Faker” better. Pretender sounds a little pretentious. Fakers are overachievers, goal seekers and terrified of failure and hence uncertainty. We are smart but emotional. Although capable of in-depth analysis, fakers usually depend on simple intuition or heuristics. At times this leads us to make wrong choices. I hope to present a scientific way to analyze randomness and either minimize downside risk from uncertainty or even profit from it in ethical and legal ways.
Here is an inspiring quote from the famous 10th century scientist, astronomer, mathematician, and philosopher, Alhazen on scientific method:
“The duty of the man*, who investigates the writings of scientists, if learning the truth is his goal, is to make himself an enemy of all that he reads, and … attack it from every side. He should also suspect himself as he performs his critical examination of it, so that he may avoid falling into either prejudice or leniency.”
* Please accept my apologies if the use of the word “man” bothers you in any way. I choose to focus on the intent/message and ignore the bias/messenger. I do quote a lot of people, who have influenced my thinking but I do not idolize them. Some of them have character flaws. Should we not admire the beauty of a lotus because it blossomed in a muddy pond?
Of course, every method has its limitations. Humility is a much needed trait for us fakers. Dr. Richard Feynman, Physicist, said the following and captures the tone of this entire website:
“I think it’s much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might be wrong. I have approximate answers and possible beliefs and different degrees of uncertainty about different things, but I am not absolutely sure of anything and there are many things I don’t know anything about, such as whether it means anything to ask why we’re here. I don’t have to know an answer. I don’t feel frightened not knowing things, by being lost in a mysterious universe without any purpose, which is the way it really is as far as I can tell.”